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Markets expect positive signs from Trump trade speech

New York City (Reuters) – President Donald Trump on Tuesday hung the prospect of completing an initial trade deal with China “quickly,” however provided no brand-new details on negotiations in a campaign-style speech touting his administration’s financial record.

Markets had been on edge about Trump’s extremely expected remarks to The Economic Club of New York, but hardly moved after the speech, which consisted of no significant policy announcements. Reports early on Tuesday that Trump may reveal a place and date for signing a trade deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping proved unproven.

Trump said U.S. and Chinese arbitrators were “close” to a “phase one” trade offer, but largely duplicated well-worn rhetoric about China’s “cheating” on trade.

” They are passing away to negotiate. We’re the ones that are choosing whether we want to negotiate,” Trump stated, echoing remarks he made on Saturday.

” We’re close,” he said. “A considerable stage one trade deal with China might take place. Could happen soon. But we will only accept a deal if it’s good for the United States and our workers and our great companies.”

Trump stated he would raise tariffs on Chinese products “extremely substantially” if China does not make a deal with the United States. “And that’s going to hold true for other nations that maltreat us too,” he added.

White Home economic consultant Larry Kudlow later informed CNBC that the phase one arrangement might include some modifications to tariffs currently in location, but neither side would agree to such steps “up until the whole deal is created.”

U.S. stocks mainly wandered sideways as Trump spoke, keeping modest gains. The S&P 500 SPX was up about 0.3%in afternoon trade, near a record high. The action in bond and foreign exchange markets was similarly subdued.

” The only thing that’s possibly brand-new is that he did not reveal a date and a time for a signing ceremony,” Greg Anderson, worldwide head of foreign exchange method at BMO Capital Markets in New york city, said of the speech. “Where markets had actually been hoping for that, those hopes were dashed,” he added, saying that purchasing of riskier assets faded when it became apparent that no major announcement would be made.


Trump when again took objective at the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions that have left U.S. rates of interest higher than many other economies and said he would prefer negative rates.

The Fed has cut rates of interest three times because July, following a string of 9 increases considering that late2015 Trump has repeatedly railed against the Fed for not reducing rates much more.

” Remember we are actively taking on countries that freely cut rates of interest so that numerous are now really earning money when they pay off their loan, known as unfavorable interest. Who ever became aware of such a thing?” Trump said in his remarks.

” Give me a few of that. Provide me a few of that cash. I desire some of that money. Our Federal Reserve doesn’t let us do it,” he said.

But Kudlow told CNBC that he did not believe unfavorable rates were required provided the strong U.S. financial efficiency. “I do not think the United states requires negatives rates … since our economy is in great shape,” Kudlow said.

Trump touted tax cuts gone by Republicans in 2017, saying they have actually produced an unprecedented economic boom, and stated there was room for additional reductions in rates too. He mentioned a Republican “tax cut 2.0” plan that has been stalled by Democrats in the House of Representatives.

As he often has, Trump indicated the stock market’s run-up as a validation of his economic and trade policies.

The S&P is up more than 36?cause Trump took office, though two-thirds of that gain occurred in his first year in office prior to he started imposing tariffs on imports from China. Stocks have actually discovered the going far more choppy since the first wave of tariffs were imposed in 2018, though all 3 major indexes struck record highs recently.

FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a conference with China’s Vice Premier Liu He in the Oval Office at the White Home after 2 days of trade negotiations in Washington, U.S., October 11,2019 REUTERS/Yuri Gripas/File Picture

The most recent back-and-forth between Washington and Beijing illustrates the rough state of play. Recently, authorities from both sides said they had an offer to roll back tariffs, only to have Trump reject any deal had actually been agreed on.

Tuesday was Trump’s second look at the storied Economic Club of New York, which has hosted U.S. presidents consisting of Woodrow Wilson and John F. Kennedy, as well as foreign leaders like previous Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev here and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang here Trump formerly dealt with the organization in 2016 when running for president.

Reporting by Jeff Mason; Extra reporting by David Lawder, Susan Heavey and Andrea Shalal in Washington, April Joyner and Sinead Carew in New York; Writing by David Lawder, Editing by Dan Burns, Jonathan Oatis and Leslie Adler

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